As jy ore het wat nie wil hoor nie en ‘n verstand wat moedswillig nie wil verstaan nie, sal jy ook nie gereed of ontvanklik wees vir die gevolge van jou onbesonne besluitneming wat jy dan nie kan begryp nie!
Wat ‘n wonderlike leerskool is Afrika nie vir dié wat bereid is om sy lering aan te neem nie. Dit was mnr. Jaap Marais wat by herhaling aan die “slim” Afrikanerpolitici dit probeer tuisbring het dat Afrika ons aanskouingsles is waaruit ons behoort te kan bepaal wat die beste beleidsrigting sal wees om hier in Afrika te kan bly voortbestaan.
Neem nou maar Zimbabwe as ‘n voorbeeld. Die AVP het, gebasseer op mnr. Marais se wyse riglyn, wat hy oorgeneem het by van ons wyse Afrikanerleiers voor hom, ‘n voorspelling gemaak oor wat in Zimbabwe se sogenaamde staatsgreep gebeur het en wat die gevolge daarvan gaan wees. Die AVP het die volgende daaroor kwytgeraak: “Die onlangse gebeure in Zimbabwe volg nie die Afrikapatroon nie. Die optrede van die Zimbabwiese weermag strook nie met die standaard gewelldsoptrede van Afrika nie. Die vraag wat ontstaan is waarom hierdie sagte en beskaafde hantering van Mugabe?
Die pad van bloed en geweld wat agter Mugabe se weermaggeneraals lê toe hy nog sterk was en sy opposisie eenvoudig met geweld uit die weg geruim het, neem ewe skierlik ‘n ander wending. Kan dit wees dat hulle besef dat indien Mugabe se opposisie die stuur vat, dit hulle beurt gaan wees om te bloei? ................ Nietemin is die “sagte” staatsgreep in Zimbabwe waarskynlik daarop gerig om steeds met dieselfde millitêre struktuur te kan voortgaan terwille van selfbeskerming. Dit werk op die korttermyn. Of dit egter op die langer duur sal standhou, sal nog gesien moet word.
Die Afrikapatroon is terug op die spoor! In die twee koerantartikels hieronder word daar ‘n helder lig gewerp op die Afrikapatroon! Zimbabwiërs se droom wat van ‘n “nuwe Zimbabwe” nou in ‘n nagmerrie verander het. Dit klink só baie na die liberale Afrikaners en andere wat gedroom het oor die “nuwe Suid Afrika” wat nou in ‘n “riller” ontaard het soos wat nie in die wildste droom denkbaar was nie. In die tweede artikel word Cyril Ramaphosa se plan met die blankes verduidelik. Die strategie is lank reeds sigbaar in die wyse waarop ons blankes stelselmatig een-vir-een uitgemoor word sonder dat daar met geweld teruggeslaan word.
Die Bybelse waarheid van bly by dit wat jy geleer het omdat jy weet van wie jy dit geleer het, kan hier nie genoeg beklemtoon word nie.
'The dream has turned into a nightmare': Zimbabweans respond to new cabinet
Correspondent (News 24)
Harare - Zimbabweans have been sharing their disappointment over news that a new cabinet appointed by President Emmerson Mnangagwa has not made a break with the past.
Most people woke up to news on Friday that the cabinet not only included veterans of Robert Mugabe's previous cabinets, but prominent members of the military.
'A cabinet or a regiment?'
Airforce commander, Perrance Shiri is now the new agriculture minister. Brigadier-General Sibusiso Moyo - who Zimbabweans got to know on November 15 when he went on state TV to announce a military takeover - is the new foreign minister.
“Is this a CABINET or a REGIMENT?” quipped Zimbabwean comedian, Carl Joshua Ncube on Twitter.
Across Zimbabwe’s vibrant social media community, the mood was glum.
Tweeted @SiphoMalunga: “This looks like the unexpected reality I spoke about. And the Zimbabwe dream has turned into a nightmare so that it’s awful to be asleep and equally terrible to be awake.”
Many had anticipated that Mnangagwa, sworn in amid great hopes last Friday, would use the new cabinet to build bridges in politically polarised Zimbabwe and reinforce the message that the country was changing tack after years of crisis and uncertainty under Mugabe's rule.
There were even suggestions Mnangagwa would include members from opposition parties in his new government.
But that was not to be.
“Most of the people in this new Cabinet don’t possess any new and refreshing ideas to breathe life into the comatose economy,” said Obert Gutu, spokesman for Morgan Tsvangirai's MDC party.
Gutu said the new cabinet showed there would be “absolutely no fundamental change in the government’s approach going forward.”
Ready for elections
Tendai Biti, who was finance minister in the 2009-2013 coalition government and credited with stabilising the economy, wrote on Twitter: “Up until now, we had given the putsch the benefit of the doubt. We did so in the genuine, perhaps naive view that the country could actually move forward... How wrong we were.”
But presidential spokesperson George Charamba said calls for another unity government now were impractical, with elections just round the corner.
“If you look at the schedule for elections we are about plus or minus six months before they are held and certainly it would not make sense to talk about (a government of national unity) for those remaining months,” he told Friday's state-run Herald daily.
“Parties must ready themselves for elections,” he said.
The ANC and Ramaphosa's 1994 plan for the whites
John Kane-Berman | 17 September 2017
John Kane-Berman on an intriguing anecdote in the late Mario Oriani-Ambrosini's memoirs
Cyril Ramaphosa and the story of the frogs in the water
In recently published memoirs, one of Cyril Ramaphosa's main opponents pays generous tribute to his character and negotiating skills during the talks leading up to the new South African constitution and the election in 1994.
Dr Mario Oriani-Ambrosini, who died in 2014, was a constitutional lawyer who became an MP. He was also a key adviser to Prince Mangosuthu Buthelezi both during the negotiations and afterwards when the latter was minister of home affairs in the governments of national unity. His memoirs – the Prince and I: A South African Institutional Odyssey – are published this year by his estate.
According to the memoirs, Mr Ramaphosa, "stood head and shoulders above his colleagues" in the African National Congress (ANC) as well as above the National Party's negotiators. He was a "born leader" and a "straight shooter". Nor did he ever lie or "misrepresent anything".
What then are we to make of this paragraph in Dr Oriani-Ambrosini's intriguing memoirs?
"In his brutal honesty, Ramaphosa told me of the ANC's 25-year strategy to deal with the whites: it would be like boiling a frog alive, which is done by raising the temperature very slowly. Being cold-blooded, the frog does not notice the slow temperature increase, but if the temperature is raised suddenly, the frog will jump out of the water. He meant that the black majority would pass laws transferring wealth, land, and economic power from white to black slowly and incrementally, until the whites lost all they had gained in South Africa, but without taking too much from them at any given time to cause them to rebel or fight."
Since then Mr Ramaphosa has had a great deal else to say. He said recently that "radical economic transformation" required policies with an "over-riding focus on the creation of jobs". Policies that "do not create jobs – or that threaten jobs – must be reviewed and revised." This thinking is incompatible with expropriation of all white "wealth, land, and economic power".
Mr Ramaphosa recently told the South African Communist Party (SACP) that "far higher levels of fixed investment" were necessary to achieve growth and create employment on a massive scale. Such investment would not be forthcoming in the context of the mass expropriation of white property of which he spoke to Dr Oriani-Ambrosini. Investors are already extremely wary.
Mr Ramaphosa knows this. Even so, he has recently endorsed the ANC's policy of bringing about a national democratic revolution – although these remarks are routinely ignored by newspapers and nearly all on-line commentators. Either they do not take them seriously, or they do not wish to alert the frogs. Mr Ramaphosa of course benefits from this voluntary censorship.
His remarks all those many years ago help to explain something the mining industry does not understand: why, despite its achievements in handing over equity to black economic empowerment partners, the mining minister keeps on demanding more.
Although his language was lurid, what Mr Ramaphosa told Dr Oriani-Ambrosini is in line with the "strategy and tactics" documents the ANC and its SACP allies publish from time to time on the national democratic revolution. Implementation does not involve a "big-bang" approach, because this would frighten the horses, or alert the frogs. An incremental approach is likely to be more successful. Move forward where you can, stage a tactical retreat if you provoke too much opposition, and then press forward when the time is more auspicious.
To what extent Mr Ramaphosa is still committed to what he said in his speech about white people and frogs is not clear. As a trade unionist before he went into politics he had to adopt a pragmatic approach. If he ever became president of the ANC and of the country, would pragmatism supplant revolutionary ideology?
The answers can only be guesswork. Mr Ramaphosa's main attraction at this stage is that his political rivals for the top job are uninspiring, if not worse. This alone will secure him media and business support, irrespective of whether he is a revolutionary or a reformer.
* John Kane-Berman is a policy fellow at the IRR, a think-tank that promotes political and economic freedom.